As our farm management team monitors 2026’s pistachio harvest, our investments team has been particularly interested in this permanent crop’s market dynamics.

Few crops show a constrained supply and rising demand dynamic this clearly, and fewer still carry the kind of consumer support pistachios have picked up over the past three years.

Our analysis covers the two water-stressed countries that grow more than 80% of global supply, inventory that has fallen to its thinnest level in nearly a decade, and the decline of new California plantings. It explores the water and regulatory limits on what can still be planted, and the cultural shifts that have pushed pistachios past walnuts and pecans in American consumption for the first time.

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